Our New Deepseek-based AI Says
Our new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl predictions from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be much better at forecasting
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No one can anticipate the future however at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to provide it its finest shot. With approximately date news and a little however lively 14 Billion criterion model, our AI is boldly predicting the unpredictable. Join us as we try to address humanity's hardest questions.
Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, just as 2 years back, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain lots of pushing questions that are less easy to select. Our business, Lightning Rod Labs, has actually been mining questions from places like polymarket.com and training a big language design to be much better at anticipating the future (and have actually seen some intriguing improvements - research paper incoming). This week we turned its cold, determining eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can give us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion criterion design which is really on the smaller sized side. (Some price quotes suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from numerous months earlier so we have actually built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we supply the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unidentified area to make its finest prediction possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We postured the following questions to our AI and determined its response. While we have actually seen forecast enhancements from our training, use these price quotes for prop wagering at your own hazard.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity
And so it seems this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock solid, but a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposal. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an uncomfortable proposition ...
First, I'll take a look at the bottom lines from the short articles. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor because 2023. He's a huge football star, and she's been helpful of his career, attending his games. They appear to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even welcomed her family and friends to the Super Bowl, showing her commitment.
Some fans are excited, while others, especially Swifties, are a bit uncertain, especially offered remarks Travis made about Donald Trump participating in the Super Bowl. That has actually caused some Swifties to question how ideal Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship personal and not addressing the speculation straight.
I believe the bottom lines are the speculation and his incredibly elusive . While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the odds and his responses recommend it's more of a possibility rather than a certainty. I 'd approximate a low likelihood, perhaps around 5%, considering all aspects.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the extremely bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% opportunity
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature "tush-push" relocation, now its just a different front-tush being pushed. Will an AI understand what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even know what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's similar efforts? Appears like our AI thinks they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this video game.
Alright, I'm attempting to find out the likelihood that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" during the Super Bowl. First, I need to understand just what a "tush-push" is. From the posts, it looks like it's a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to push off protectors. It's compared to pressing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that needs strength and method.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to carry out the relocation. The post mentions that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is quite high. ... I also require to think of the defensive methods of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles' "tush-push" technique, they might change their defense appropriately, which might either increase or it-viking.ch decrease the variety of times the Eagles utilize it.
Considering that more than five appears like a significant number however possible given their self-confidence, I would approximate a likelihood around 60-70% chance. This accounts for their preparation, self-confidence in the method, and the probability that they'll utilize it a number of times, especially if it's reliable early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime show performance?
AI Final Prediction: 65% chance
While our AI may not be like us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling back and forth, however in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to back down from a fight.
From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of criticizing Trump. He's done this in his songs, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration throughout a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That appears significant since it shows he's done it previously, so possibly he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more recent short articles, it points out that Lamar is moving far from political statements and focusing more on personal expression. That might mean he's less most likely to attend to Trump this time.
However, he's likewise associated with a fight with Drake, which may give him factors to make some public statements, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal problems surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a defamation suit from Drake, so perhaps he's careful about consisting of any controversial songs in the performance. But given that he won the Grammys for that track, he may still want to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent occasion, Lamar might feel forced to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to prevent political declarations during the halftime show, so there's a risk that such material may be restricted or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a performance history of making strong moves on big phases. He's the very first solo rap act to heading the halftime show, which may offer him more innovative flexibility. Plus, his previous habits recommends he's not shy about expressing his opinions, even in public performances.
But I likewise remember reading that Lamar revealed fatigue about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might show he's less motivated to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's concentrating on his feud with Drake. In summary, dokuwiki.stream weighing all factors-past habits, present shifts in focus, legal problems, and the event's context-the likelihood appears to be moderately high, maybe around 65%.
Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the very bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% possibility
Lets be honest, Andy Reid likes cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the truth that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its forecast? Looks like theres somewhat of an opportunity that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't suggest to trigger offense and that he really found it amusing himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which may show he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.
Looking at the posts, it mentions that Andy Reid is a food lover and loves cheeseburgers. There's an article specifically about his love for food, which suggests that he's an individual who delights in consuming, specifically with his team. So, pipewiki.org if there were strategies to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, specifically if the circumstance is on screen for an event.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% possibility
"Tails never ever fails?" You can't deceive the devices !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been anticipating the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially profitable? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be tricked and believes anything can occur when that coin goes in the air.
Okay, so I'm attempting to figure out the probability that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is expected to be 50/50, however there's some historic data that may influence this forecast.
First, I review the posts provided. They all discuss the historic statistics of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has turned up more frequently than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has actually been the outcome 30 times, which has to do with 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a slight edge, however it's not a substantial distinction.
However, I keep in mind that the result of a coin toss is usually thought about random. The small historical edge for tails could be due to possibility. But when making forecasts, in some cases people weigh historical data even if it's not statistically considerable. So, I ought to consider whether this historical predisposition must influence the possibility.
After considering it, I choose that while the historic data reveals a minor choice for tails, it's not statistically significant sufficient to move the likelihood far from 0.5. So, I'll choose 0.5 as the probability, acknowledging that the slight historic edge exists however doesn't bypass the fact that each toss is an independent 50/50 event.
Will the referees cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% possibility
We get it, you think the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na assist him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I assure we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would probably think the very same. BUT, its official now since our AI says the possibilities are only 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still sort of high when it pertains to scams on a nationwide scale). Looks like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm attempting to figure out the possibility that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a pretty severe allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a great deal of posts that talk about conspiracy theories suggesting referees are biased towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some doubtful calls in recent video games, particularly the AFC National championship. That does appear to stimulate some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get frustrated when their group loses due to what they view as bad officiating.
But then I check out that the NFL Referees Association and annunciogratis.net the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "outrageous" and "absurd." They state there's no evidence of methodical bias. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're denying it, it may suggest there's no real basis or they would have resolved it differently if there was some fact to it.
Looking at the short articles, numerous sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They also mentioned that analytical analysis does not show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For circumstances, Mike Pereira from FOX said data reveals the Chiefs have been punished more since 2022. That's interesting due to the fact that if they were getting special treatment, you might anticipate fewer penalties, right?
...
So, putting everything together, the likelihood that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably extremely low. Maybe not zero because you can't eliminate every possibility, however very not likely.
Summary
There you have it everyone, is it even worth viewing the game still? I guess I'll need to wait and see how the video game ends up before we unleash this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for a good video game! And hi, if it turns out our AI was incorrect about everything, at least it can gain from this.